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	<title>Mike Cosgrave</title>
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	<link>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006</link>
	<description>Life, the Universe and Everything</description>
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		<title>Wikileaks, Fractal and Fractional history</title>
		<link>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=622</link>
		<comments>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=622#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jul 2010 13:06:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Cosgrave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Random]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Afghan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[History & Humanities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wikileaks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=622</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>It may seem strange that a historian would argue that Wikileaks publication of the Afghan War Logs was a waste of time, but it was, and it was possibly harmful. Todays followup, the posting of a huge encrypted &#8220;insurance&#8221; file on the Wikileaks site, looks like a juvenile stunt ,  copied from a cheap novel.</p>
<p>Reading the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It may seem strange that a historian would argue that Wikileaks publication of the <a href="http://wikileaks.org/wiki/Afghan_War_Diary,_2004-2010" target="_blank">Afghan War Logs</a> was a waste of time, but it was, and it was possibly harmful. Todays followup, the <a href="http://www.wired.com/threatlevel/2010/07/wikileaks-insurance-file/" target="_blank">posting of a huge encrypted &#8220;insurance&#8221; file on the Wikileaks </a>site, looks like a juvenile stunt ,  copied from a cheap novel.<span id="more-622"></span></p>
<p>Reading the media coverage of the Afghan war logs last week, I had to ask myself &#8220;So what?&#8221;. The logs, which need a glossary to make sense to the layman, tell us nothing we didn&#8217;t already know. Sure, they provide us with more facts, but they hardly change our interpretation of the Afghan War. We already knew it was a mess, and we already knew there were civilian casualties, and that the fighting has concentrated in a few areas, and the Pakistani ISI was playing both sides of the game, and that the training and performance of the Afghan army was not meeting expectations. There is nothing, as far as I can see, in the Afghan War logs that will change any of those interpretations, which I think are so widely accepted as to be a reasonable consensus.</p>
<p>What we got were more facts, and I have no doubt those will be of value to some people. The media didn&#8217;t report every firefight, every airstrike or every civilian death, and for those who lost loved ones on both sides, the extra details gleamed from the logs may well help the process of grieving &#8211; or open old wounds. But when you step back and look at the overview, we knew how the game was going out there. Wikileaks added more details, and in some cases showed that a great many needless deaths were unreported, but didn&#8217;t provide us with anything to make us drastically revise our views about the war.</p>
<p>History is about making sense of the past with fragmentary evidence. You don&#8217;t know every detail, and you don&#8217;t need to &#8211; it is like a fractal pattern in maths &#8211; once you have enough to see the shape, you can fairly sketch out the missing bits. You can also make a reasonable assessment of how likely it is that the missing evidence will overturn your interpretation. For the Afghan war from 2004-9; we pretty much had that.</p>
<p>Now, there is talk about how the Taliban are sifting through the logs to locate informers; and I&#8217;m sure they are. They have supporters in the west with the tools to work through this data quickly, and they have local knowledge which they can marry up to that to locate possible informers. Details which might seem insignificant to a western analyst will help identify where and when informants operated. It is possible that specific civilians who helped western troops will be identified and shot as a result, and that is a bad thing.  It is also true, of course, that in any guerrilla war, a great many suspected &#8220;informers&#8221; are shot, often on the basis of the most scanty rumour. Many Afghan civilians may already but under suspicion of collaborating with the Western troops, and in the long run, it may be impossible to say who would have been shot by the Taliban anyway.</p>
<p>The Taliban trawl of the documents looking for informers does immense damage to Western information gathering, or even peacebuilding, for the future. Who is going to provide information to Western troops about Taliban terror plots if they know there is risk their identity may be splashed around the internet? Who, in an Afghan hill village, will risk even working on non-military programmes to build health centres and schools without wondering about the risk of exposure to the terrorists? In the long term, this is, I think, the real damage the logs will do. Even if they didn&#8217;t contain that sort of information in easily discoverable form, their release will be manipulated to create fear. Knowledge is power &#8211; let&#8217;s not forget that the Holocaust in WWII was made possible because the Nazis had access to detailed census records which allowed them to round up their victims.</p>
<p>The suggestion therefore that today&#8217;s posting of an &#8220;insurance&#8221; file contains even more detailed and damning data is disturbing. More data is unlikely to add to our understanding of the conflict &#8211; especially if that data all comes from the same sources. However, it may put more lives at risk in Afghanistan simply to prevent the owner of Wikileaks from disappearing. Wikileaks has done a great deal of good in the past, a huge amount of good, but now <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Julian_Assange" target="_blank">Assange </a>is getting out of his depth. If you chose to swim with the sharks, you need to accept that risk of being eaten. Otherwise stay on the beach and don&#8217;t ask the lifegaurd to risk his life to pull you out.</p>
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		<title>Peter Hart</title>
		<link>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=613</link>
		<comments>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=613#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Jul 2010 09:37:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Cosgrave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Random]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=613</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Peter Hart, the Canadian Historian whose work on the IRA in West Cork aroused such controversy, has died, aged 46. He will be most remembered in Ireland for his book &#8220;The IRA and its Enemies: Violence and Community in Cork 1916-1923,&#8221; which drew the ire of many in West Cork for his interpretation of the actions [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Peter Hart, the Canadian Historian whose work on the IRA in West Cork aroused such controversy, has died, aged 46. He will be most remembered in Ireland for his book <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/I-R-its-Enemies-Community-1916-1923/dp/0198208065/ref=sr_1_16?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1279963547&amp;sr=8-16" target="_blank">&#8220;The IRA and its Enemies: Violence and Community in Cork 1916-1923,</a>&#8221; which drew the ire of many in West Cork for his interpretation of the actions of the IRA in the area during the War of Independence.<span id="more-613"></span></p>
<p>That debate runs on still. A a minor level, it  hangs mainly on Hart&#8217;s use of evidence from official documents, his unwillingness to trust Forence O&#8217;Donoghue on a source, his infamous interview with a veteran of the Kilmichael Ambush, and his account of the killings of loyalists in Bandon at the end of the war. At a macro level, his opponents point out that he adopted a narrow, legalistic view on national self-determination which made every freedom fighter a terrorist.  <a href="http://www.indymedia.ie/article/80362" target="_blank">There is a summary of some of the debate on indymedia</a> &#8211; as you can see, it is a long, complex and heated argument which may now never be resolved.</p>
<p>His criticism of Tom Barry at Kilmichael depends on interviews which  he claimed to have conducted that shed fresh light on the events of that ambush. However, his research in West Cork was carried out at a time when all the veterans of the ambush were either dead, or known to be senile. Hart never satisfactorily explained this, in spite of being frequently challenged on it.  There is no real debate about what happened at Kilmichael &#8211; even Tom Barry, who led the IRA column, made no secret of the sequence of events &#8211; some of the &#8220;Auxies&#8221; raised their hands and said they surrendered, then shots were fired and several of the IRA men were hit and killed. After this, the fighting resumed (if it had ever really stopped) and all of the British were killed. Hart&#8217;s book opened a huge debate about motives and ethics, but the unanswered questions about his research undermine his interpretation. In warfare, things like this happen, either by accident or as deliberate subterfuge.  As long ago as 1971, John Keegan in <em>The Face of Battle</em>, devoted space to discussing the problems of surrendering in the middle of a fire-fight, and produced examples of false or partial surrenders, and of the shooting of enemies who had surrendered or who were trying to surrender.</p>
<p>In the case of the Bandon shootings, the facts are also pretty clear.  At the end of the War of Independence, a number of men, Protestants, and presumed to be both Unionists and to have provided help to the British during the war, were killed by men who were in the IRA. Whether or not is was organised ethnic cleansing or not is the debated issue. I don&#8217;t have Hart&#8217;s book here at home, so I can&#8217;t quote his exact words, but my recollection is that he characterised it as a mini-pogrom.</p>
<p>Hart&#8217;s interpretations are certainly open to debate, and his position was never helped by the his failure to address serious issues in his handling of primary sources.  Professional historians, notably UCCs <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Spies-Informers-Anti-Sinn-Fein-Society/dp/0716528339/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1279962046&amp;sr=1-2" target="_blank">John Borgonovo</a>, or <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Ambushes-Armour-W-H-Kautt/dp/0716530252/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1279962125&amp;sr=1-3" target="_blank">W. A Kautt</a>, and others at several conferences in UCC, have dealt indirectly with some of those problems of sources in their own work. The problem of his &#8216;revisionist&#8217; interpretation of the War of Independence in Cork still rouses amateur historians to fury. Ireland being a small country, many of his critics are related to the men whose motivation Hart criticised. Sometimes, I think his critics protest too much  &#8211; just or not, the War of Independence was a nasty and unpleasant terrorist war in which men on both sides were shot down in night and died in the cold wet ditches.  Hart&#8217;s interpretation may have swung too far, but there are still many people in Ireland who are not comfortable admitting how our state was born. Dealing with our past &#8211; and in the case of Northern Ireland, our recent past &#8211; is part of the contribution we can make to understanding and resolving conflict in the world.</p>
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		<title>&#8220;students hate complexity&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=603</link>
		<comments>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=603#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Jun 2010 08:40:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Cosgrave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Random]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=603</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t think so. That quote popped up on my Twitter stream from George Siemens who is tweeting a conference in Valencia this morning.  His reaction is &#8216;Well tough&#8217; but mine is no, actually they don&#8217;t hate complexity, they just hate poorly presented complexity</p>
<p>Students do hate complexity when a large a complex problem is thrown at [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t think so. That quote popped up on my Twitter stream from George Siemens who is tweeting a conference in Valencia this morning.  His reaction is &#8216;Well tough&#8217; but mine is no, actually they don&#8217;t hate complexity, they just hate poorly presented complexity<span id="more-603"></span></p>
<p>Students do hate complexity when a large a complex problem is thrown at them, and they are expected to make sense of it without any guidance. We don&#8217;t expect people to master complex tasks without guidance &#8211; pilots learn to fly in simple planes and work up. Surgeons start out as interns. Real life is like that.</p>
<p>University should be like that too. My own experience is that when you throw a UN resolution up on the projector for the first time, students do baulk at the pages and pages of apparently pointless verbiage. If you throw something like that at them and say &#8220;Here, analyse this,,&#8221; then of course most of them will get lost in the third paragraph and give up.  But if you take them through one resolution, and show them where the operative paragraph is, and why all that preparatory BS is there, then they can read the documents and, over the duration of the course, come to understand how documents like that flow from negotiation. As they get more engaged with the problems, they can deal with the complexity, and some even come to enjoy playing the game of negotiating, drafting and working on complex texts.</p>
<p>So it is not the case the students don&#8217;t like complexity &#8211; properly presented, they enjoy mastering complex challenges, and if you think &#8220;students hate complexity&#8221; then the problem may not be with the students, but with how you present the complex issues to them.</p>
<p>If you want to read a UN Resolution, <a href="http://daccess-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N10/380/13/PDF/N1038013.pdf?OpenElement" target="_blank">look at this</a> &#8211; the verb you are looking for is &#8216;Decides&#8230;&#8217;. The conference the twitter came from is hosted by the European Distance and E-Learning Network, and I really should be there and not here surrounded by exam scripts, <a href="http://www.eden-online.org/eden.php?menuId=509" target="_blank">but all the sessions are streamed</a>.</p>
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		<title>Back on Bitnet..</title>
		<link>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=601</link>
		<comments>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=601#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 May 2010 11:41:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Cosgrave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Random]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[History & Humanities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Teaching & Learning]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=601</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I found a really old post on bit.listerv.history from 1992 which shows I&#8217;ve been saying the same stuff for almost 20 years (and still can&#8217;t type properly)</p>
<p>&#8220;I agree that many people end up in humanities undergrad courses  due to a lack of direction, or failure to get into other faculties;  and I accept there [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I found a really old post on bit.listerv.history from 1992 which shows I&#8217;ve been saying the same stuff for almost 20 years (and still can&#8217;t type properly)</p>
<p>&#8220;I agree that many people end up in humanities undergrad courses  due to a lack of direction, or failure to get into other faculties;  and I accept there are very few jos for history graduates as  historians. I can&#8217;t accept the &#8220;no practical use&#8221; point though. <span id="more-601"></span></p>
<p>Although I&#8217;m doing a hsitory Phd, I have taught business  undergrads<br />
both history and MIS, and I&#8217;ve known quite a number of  business students. There<br />
is a trendancy in the &#8220;professional&#8221;  disciplines to teach undergraduates<br />
&#8220;how&#8221; rather than &#8220;why&#8221;, which,  while it fulfills a necessary social function<br />
inasmuch as we need  doctors (I wonder about accountnats) it limits critical<br />
thought and  innovation. This may be one of the main roots of the &#8220;Ready, Fire,<br />
Aim?&#8221; school of management.</p>
<p>The intellectual skills  which students in history courses are supposed<br />
to develope &#8211;  abilty to read texts &amp; evidence critically, to assess bias, to<br />
assemble an overivew from incomplete or contradictory sources, to write  crisp<br />
presentations &#8212; are all useful and marketable skills. Not, I  agree, to the<br />
extent that thetre should be a job in industry for  every humanities graduate<br />
but the position should be better than it  now is.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong></strong></p>
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		<title>iBut</title>
		<link>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=593</link>
		<comments>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=593#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Apr 2010 10:12:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Cosgrave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Random]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Teaching & Learning]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=593</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Yes, the iPad is here and it is pretty and it is a game changing device but only in some ways. I was impressed with the Course Notes app which goes a long way to fixing some of the common problems of disorganisation that bedevil students, but not all &#8211; apps like that on the iPad [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes, the iPad is here and it is pretty and it is a game changing device but only in some ways. I was impressed with the Course Notes app which goes a long way to fixing some of the common problems of disorganisation that bedevil students, but not all &#8211; apps like that on the iPad won&#8217;t be a magic bullet to make us all smarter &#8211; and they may just confirm some folks in their dumbness. <span id="more-593"></span></p>
<p>If you are, were or know a student whose notes are a disorganised pile of illegible A4 pads, then apps like this will certainly help &#8211; go on, watch the video, it&#8217;s pretty and shiny:</p>
<p><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="640" height="385" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/VLQhKkgco_I&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;hl=en_GB&amp;feature=player_embedded&amp;fs=1" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="640" height="385" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/VLQhKkgco_I&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;hl=en_GB&amp;feature=player_embedded&amp;fs=1" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true"></embed></object></p>
<p>What apps like this give students is a decent notetaking tool on a device which, if it measures up, is portable, fast to start, has decent battery life and has a screen large enough to do real work on. These are all big pluses. Apps with online synchronisation and backup will reduce the amount of &#8220;lost&#8221; notes and paper drafts left in the library, coffee shop or on the bus.</p>
<p>But while this will make the process of being organised easier, it won&#8217;t teach people to be organised, or make them smarter. Knowing you have X paper due on day Y doesn&#8217;t mean you will break that task down into its requirements &#8211; reading, notetaking, planning, drafting and actually get it done. If you do, it will certainly be easier to stop me crossing campus and  bluetooth your draft to my iPad so I can give you feedback and email it back.  There are things here that the iPad doesn&#8217;t do &#8211; draft a paper in time, submit it for comments, and actually read and action on that feedback &#8211; that relies on iPeople.</p>
<p>Equally, the iPad doesn&#8217;t resolve the content v process debate which has, foolishly, torn education into two camps. Just because you can, as the Course Notes demo shows, hook up to Wikipedia and pull down the definition of Ph; or use an app like <a href="http://www.apple.com/ipad/apps-for-ipad/#elements" target="_blank">Elements </a>to look up the properties of the elements, doesn&#8217;t mean you know diddly. There is some content which you must have in your brain, not your iPad f you are going to do your job right. Knowing how to find content, integrate  it into your cognitive maps and use it are all important processes, but for a great many professions, understanding the process of finding information is not enough &#8211; you need enough information in your head to be able to spot things that are wrong. The chemistry student who know how to look up the ph of Gold on the iPad will always be a dozen keystrokes behind the one who knows it, and there will be times when that makes a difference.</p>
<p>That said, the iPad and the new tablets which will follow it are better tools than those which we currently have to teach students effective autonomous learning skills. Tablets will probably make it easier to teach students how to make sense of the world around them, and provide better tools to help them to learn the content they need to know to function in their discipline.  But I still have students who write down everything I put up on my powerpoints, even though they know the powerpoints are available to them. We may have Star Trek style tools, but many of our students still approach college like medieval monks; and the iPad won&#8217;t fix that.</p>
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		<title>World Classics</title>
		<link>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=590</link>
		<comments>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=590#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Mar 2010 13:54:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Cosgrave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Random]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[classics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[History & Humanities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[world history]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=590</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Why are Greek and Latin &#8216;Classics&#8217; and not Chinese? There is no real answer to this question, which popped out of some twittering I was doing just now with Dave Parry.  It is hard to argue with Dave&#8217;s position which is that this represents a European cultural bias. If we redefine classics in world rather than [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Why are Greek and Latin &#8216;Classics&#8217; and not Chinese? There is no real answer to this question, which popped out of some twittering I was doing just now with <a href="http://www.outsidethetext.com/about.html" target="_blank">Dave Parry</a>.  It is hard to argue with Dave&#8217;s position which is that this represents a European cultural bias. If we redefine classics in world rather than European terms, what languages should we add in?<span id="more-590"></span></p>
<p>The case for Chinese is so obvious that it is surprising it hasn&#8217;t been made long ago. Up the the late 1400&#8242;s, it was a toss-up as to whether European or Chinese colonial expansion and technological development would dominate the age of exploration. Chinese has a literary culture going back as far as Europe, and was and still is the language of between 10% and 20% of the worlds population. Now that I see it, it seems pretty much a slam-dunk that any academic department that claims to be a department of Classics better find a Chinese classicist.</p>
<p>But is that enough? On twitter, Dave said &#8220;<span><span><span>Heck I might even take Sanskrit, Arabic, or  Classical Chinese over Greek and Latin&#8221; which is  fair point. I&#8217;m not an expert, but it seems that given the significance of Arabic scholarship during what us Eurocentrics quaintly call the &#8220;Dark Ages&#8221;, it may have a claim. It may have crystallized as a language round the same time as Chinese (potential for a huge argument there, but let&#8217;s sweep past it for now), and has global significance in the history science and theology,  and possibly other fields. </span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span>Classical Sanskrit apparently also dates from around the 4th Century CE, which makes it, like Chinese and Arabic, younger by a long stretch than Greek and Latin. However, like Chinese and Arabic, it still has a continous tradition of written literature in a range of genres and disciplines. </span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span>Chinese, Arabic and Sanskrit are, like Latin, parents to major groups of modern spoken languages. </span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span>If we were to move away from accepting Classics as being only Greek and Latin, and include Chinese, Arabic and Sanskrit, would this bring a new dimension to comparative classical scholarship? What challenges would this pose for the movement to get away from &#8220;Western Civ&#8221; in history to a &#8220;World History&#8221; perspective which seems to mire itself in a hopelessly egalitarian soup? </span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span>Oddly enough, I&#8217;m already using a textbook &#8211; </span></span></span><a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Birth-Modern-World-1780-1914-Connections/dp/0631236163/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1269438510&amp;sr=8-1" target="_blank">Bayly, C.A. The Birth of the Modern World, 1780-1914: Global Connections and Comparisons</a> &#8211; which balances European, Middle Eastern and Chinese history in it&#8217;s period nicely, which may be why I&#8217;m happy to go along with the questions Dave asked, questions which may have been an interesting experiment in exploring the cultural biases of twitter users.</p>
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		<title>Sprawling Wargames</title>
		<link>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=569</link>
		<comments>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=569#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Mar 2010 08:15:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Cosgrave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Random]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BooksEtc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wargame]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=569</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Paddy Griffith is a military historian and wargamer whose work I always enjoy reading. The reporting of his famous Operation Sealion game in 1974 was my earliest exposure to wargaming and his writings on tactics in wars from the 1790s to the 1940s have added greatly to my understanding, and to my teaching.   I was delighted [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Paddy Griffith is a military historian and wargamer whose work I always enjoy reading. The reporting of his famous Operation Sealion game in 1974 was my earliest exposure to wargaming and his writings on tactics in wars from the 1790s to the 1940s have added greatly to my understanding, and to my teaching.   I was delighted therefore to get my hands on a copy of his <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/gp/product/1445202999/ref=sib_rdr_dp" target="_blank">Sprawling Wargames</a>, but after reading it, I wish there was more of it.<span id="more-569"></span></p>
<p>Sprawling Wargames is a book which deals with the work Griffith has done in moving away from old style miniatures wargames into large scale conference style games, a field in which he has made huge contributions. It is hardly surprising that he would, as a professional military historian who worked at the Royal Military Academy, have become less enthusiastic about &#8216;battles with model soldiers&#8217; and moved to conference games which eschew figures to focus on the flows of information and command decisions made by humans.</p>
<p>I think, and this is a lengthy aside, there is a difference between hobby wargaming in Britain and the US. In Britain, hobby wargaming has been dominated by miniatures gaming, with a lineage going back to H.G. Wells <em>Little Wars</em>.  It tends very much towards the &#8216;Free Kreigspeil&#8217; tradition.  Miniatures wargame rules from the UK tend  to be  rough rules of thumb rather than detailed simulations in the US boardgame tradition.  While there have been some miniatures wargamers in the UK who have been very knowledgable, and whose rules have been based on solid research, there have been many who have been mainly interested in moving and killing toy soldiers on the table rather than on representing how tactics really worked. This is not to say there aren&#8217;t US based miniatures wargames,  nor am I saying that there are no miniatures based rules which are good simulations; because there certainly are. However, the type of &#8216;analytical history&#8217; simulation which was the staple output of US (and some European) board wargame companies like Avalon Hill, SPI, Decision Games, OSG and others is not mirrored in the UK. People will be offended if I characterise a lot of UK wargaming as &#8216;amateurish&#8217; but, like much of the British approach to waging war, that is how it looks from here.  (I should also admit that I had a decently sized set of Napoleonic miniatures armies back in the day, and have shelf of partly painted Seleucids which will probably never be finished, so I do paint toy soldiers, and it is restful &#8211; I guess it is like fishing.)</p>
<p>Sprawling Wargames includes some priceless material. The bulk of the book is made up of the briefings for large games Griffith has run over the past 36 years.  The star of the collection is the 60 pages of the briefing for the version of the Sealion Games run at the Imperial War Museum at Duxford &#8211; we are not told how closely it follows the briefings from the original <a href="http://myweb.tiscali.co.uk/paddygriffith/other.htm" target="_blank">1974 Sealion</a> game, but I think we can assume they are pretty close. The other big game briefing is from Operation Mercury, the airborne invasion of Crete in 1941, a game with Griffith has run over 20 times with different groups. Griffith calls these &#8216;sprawling wargames&#8217; but in this he is referring not to the number of players or the extent of the game but the lack of fixed rules &#8211; the classic free kreigspeil model.  I don&#8217;t think the term &#8216;sprawling&#8217; is very good &#8211; free kreigspeil is a the common term.  Alternatively conference wargames would do equally well &#8211; and both would make fine titles for the book.</p>
<p>Where I would have liked to see more in the in the reports on the outcomes of the games, especially the Sealion and Barabrossa games &#8211; the latter is one of a number of games in the book run by email, and I hope the emails  were archived! I have run simulations which were part face-to-face and part email, and the email part  has often been both extensive and more detailed and considered than the &#8220;F2F&#8217;&#8221; parts.  The Barbarossa game was run as part of the research for Andrew Roberts&#8217;  history of WWII, <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Storm-War-History-Second-World/dp/0141029285/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1268467703&amp;sr=1-1" target="_blank">Storm of War</a>, to explore the possible range of outcomes of Operation Barbarossa.</p>
<p>One thread running through all the brief after action reports on these games is that the outcomes, while different to reality,  generally fell close the the actual or likely historical outcome. Both the 1974 and the IWM runs of the Sealion game produced slightly different results, but both outcomes fell well within the range of what might be accepted as plausible by most historians. Now of course the cynics will note that the Germans lost in most of the games in the book and may ask if this wasn&#8217;t a case of the biased refereeing, but both these games involved knowledgeable players and umpires. Indeed, the 1974 Sealion game included former WWII leaders like Admiral Frederich Ruge and air ace Adolf Galland. Similarly, while I can&#8217;t answer for some of the naval games in the book,  the Barbarossa, Crete and Suvarov in Alsace games all look &#8216;right&#8217; the outcomes are plausible, and the games do show the range of likely alternatives in those real or hypothetical campaigns.</p>
<p>This is the difference between amateur and professional wargames &#8211; amateur games can, and often do, indulge wishful thinking with lax rules, whereas professional games &#8211; and professional analysis &#8211; based on knowledge of what actually happened and more importantly why it happened and explore the parameters of the possible more accurately.  Sprawling Wargames provides a set of solid scenario briefings which, with a good umpire and knowledgeable players allows a sensible, evidence based exploration of the dynamics of a particular campaign.</p>
<p>There is more in the book &#8211; it includes some of Grifftih&#8217;s writing from minor journals and unpublished reflections which would not otherwise be available.  Apart from the shortness of the &#8216;after action reports&#8217;  if it has a flaw, it is that running the games in the book requires  umpireswho know enough real military history to run a &#8216;free kreigspeil&#8217; .  There are snippets scattered through the the text, but there isn&#8217;t a handy set of  base rules for running a theatre level &#8216;free kreigspeil&#8217; in the modern period. There are very useful references in the bibliography which will help people interested in running this sort of game, but they are mostly to UK literature, with no mention of important works from the US like Mark Hermon&#8217;s <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Wargaming-Leaders-Strategic-Battlefield-Boardroom/dp/0071596887/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1268467797&amp;sr=1-1" target="_blank">Wargaming for Leaders</a>, the reports of <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Global-War-Game-First-Newport/dp/0160769922/ref=sr_1_11?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1268467835&amp;sr=1-11" target="_blank">US Navy War College Games</a> published in the Newport Papers or Brock Tessmans book on <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/International-Relations-Action-Politics-Simulation/dp/1588264645/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1268467891&amp;sr=1-1" target="_blank">simulations on International Relations</a> teaching.</p>
<p>Sprawling Wargames is a Print on Demand title because while it is published by John Curry Events through Lulu.com, and listed as printed by amazon.co.uk.  John Curry is republishing a number of out of print classics which, while some are no longer state of the art, represent important benchmarks in the development of wargames in the UK.  POD is good &#8211; these titles will always be in print, and this volume is evidence of how the quality of POD titles has improved over the past few years &#8211; it looks well, has solid binding and comes at a reasonable cost.</p>
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		<title>Past Futures</title>
		<link>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=538</link>
		<comments>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=538#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Mar 2010 11:48:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Cosgrave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Random]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=538</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve been reading Ged Martin&#8217;s book, Past Futures. Ged used to lecture Early modern history in UCC back when I started as an undergrad. Past Futures is a book I&#8217;m going to have to re-read, because it brings out, crisply, several important points about the nature of history which merit careful thought.The title, Past Futures referring [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve been reading Ged Martin&#8217;s book, <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Past-Futures-Impossible-Necessity-History/dp/0802086454/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1267616873&amp;sr=1-1" target="_blank"><em>Past Futures</em></a>. Ged used to lecture Early modern history in UCC back when I started as an undergrad. <em>Past Futures</em> is a book I&#8217;m going to have to re-read, because it brings out, crisply, several important points about the nature of history which merit careful thought.The title, <em>Past Futures</em> referring to the futures envisaged by actors in the past, which reaches beyond simple counterfactuals, is only one of several ideas in the book<span id="more-538"></span></p>
<p>He talks about counterfactual history, and makes the usual, and I think solid case for investigating &#8216;what if&#8217;s in history. You can&#8217;t really say how significant something is in history, unless you consider the possible alternative paths which events might have taken had it not happened &#8211; we peg both the election and assassination of Lincoln as important, but if he had not been elected, American history might well have been very different, whereas if he had not been shot, the difference to the subsequent course of US history would probably not have been as great.</p>
<p>In looking at the concept of &#8216;Past Futures&#8217;, Martin goes beyond this commonplace of &#8216;what if&#8217; to address the reality that people in the past made decisions based on how they, at that time, expected the future to turn out. Now, we do in history try to understand the worldview of historical figures in their time, but only in their time; and not in terms of their future. Thus we interpret the actions of Louis XVI in terms of his upbringing, the influence of his family and wife, and how he understood the world in 1788-89. However, we hardly ever wonder how Louis expected his world to look in 1792, or 1800, or 1815.  No major study of the French Revolution addresses what Lousi expected to happen in his future, or even if he had a vision of the future. The argument Martin makes is that we can really only understand the choices made by people in the past if we have some grasp of how they expected those choices to play out.  Of course, most of the interesting bits of history arise when those choices play out  rather badly!</p>
<p>This is a perfectly sensible point, and it is true that we fail to pay enough attention to it in seeking to explain historical events. But, and there must always be a but, it may fall on the problem of whether people had  a reasonable or even any vaguely formed expectation of how they future might work out.</p>
<p>One of the chapters in the book is about how people in the past have made decisions, or rather, as it happens, about how they have drifted over the threshold of decisions. In seeking to explain how people have made choices, he deals with people and cases where significant decisions have been made for trivial or illogical reasons. More to the point, he enumerates several cases, like the conversion of Newman, or William Croaker&#8217;s decision to support conscription in Newfoundland in 1918, where there was no clear moment of decision. He shows in many cases how people could point to a time before they made a decision, and a time after the choice was made, but cannot say exactly when or why they made the particular decision.</p>
<p>I understand this &#8211; sometimes I make decisions with reasonable care, based on my expectation of the best course of action to meet how I expect the future will play out.  I know a quite a few friends whose choice of what car to buy next is definitely shaped by the prospect of parenthood, and the impossibility of fitting baby seats and buggies in the back of zippy little hatchbacks. However, I also know that the most expensive car I ever bought was based on an &#8220;Oh -  that&#8217;s pretty&#8221; followed by an almost squealing U-Turn back to the dealership.  It was a Volvo, and I certainly envisaged a &#8216;past future&#8217; in which boy racers in the little hatchbacks bounced off my tank, leaving me unharmed but I know I gave no consideration to a future in which my beautiful Volvo could pass everything except a petrol pump.</p>
<p>This is a fairly central contradiction &#8211; trying to understand how people in the past made poor choices in order to equip my students with better decisionmaking skills is one of the cornerstones of my teaching.  Martin refers to refers to Niall Ferguson: &#8220;we profit from our mistakes by analysing how we might have done better had we acted more wisely&#8221;  Martin&#8217;s emphasis on &#8216;past futures&#8217; is an important addition to our analytical toolkit, but it also forces us to recognise that many decisions are not informed by a clear expectation of what their consequences will be.</p>
<p>There is a difference between having a poorly thought out expectation of the &#8216;past future&#8217; and having none at all. If we could depend on historical figures to have employed poor reasoning in their future projections, we could make use of that. But We do have to admit that many decisions are made without any consideration of consequences. This is an interesting contradiction between two of the most powerful ideas in the book.  Apart from these, he also takes on the question of time in history, and historical significance, and other issues, but since the book title is <em>Past Futures</em> it seems to me that this problem is central to a very interesting argument.</p>
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		<title>Digital History Class</title>
		<link>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=554</link>
		<comments>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=554#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Feb 2010 18:11:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Cosgrave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Random]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Digital History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Digital Humanities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hi6018]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Teaching & Learning]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=554</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>As this term moves on, my Digital History students are (mostly) making progress on their blogs. For the course, an MA option, I decided that the assessment would be based on 10-12 blog postings showing the use of digital tools for history, and discussing readings in the area.  We did all of the practical sessions last [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As this term moves on, my Digital History students are (mostly) making progress on their blogs. For the course, an MA option, I decided that the assessment would be based on 10-12 blog postings showing the use of digital tools for history, and discussing readings in the area.  We did all of the practical sessions last term, and I let them run wild applying those skills this term. I haven&#8217;t graded anything yet, but I am keeping an eye on things, and these are some of the highlights so far<span id="more-554"></span></p>
<p>Shane McAuliffe&#8217;s blog has had a certain elegant simplicity right from that start &#8211; I imagine he would say it has something to do with Macs being better!  He  uses his blog to capture reflections on his thesis in progress  in medieval history in posts like <a href="http://shanemcauliffe.com/2009/12/the-magi-thesis-musings/" target="_blank">The Magi:Thesis Musings</a> but what really impressed me was his carefully put together demonstration of<a href="http://shanemcauliffe.com/2010/02/microsoft-powerpoint-demo/" target="_blank"> how to use powerpoint for the medieval MA class</a> &#8211; I&#8217;ve done presentations like this and I know how much work goes into doing them properly. (and I really can&#8217;t claim credit for teaching him how to do this sort of work &#8211; he knew it already, but he&#8217;ll get marks for applying it).</p>
<div class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 496px"><img class=" " title="Carter Farewell Speech" src="http://jacquelinefitz.files.wordpress.com/2010/02/carter-1981-farewell.jpg" alt="Wordle of Carters Farewell Speech" width="486" height="289" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Wordle of Carter&#39;s Farewell Speech</p></div>
<p>I&#8217;ve encouraged all my Digital History students to use Wordle for quick and pretty text analysis, and Shane has usefully fed s<a href="http://shanemcauliffe.com/2010/02/wordle-randomised-structure/" target="_blank">ome Magi-related text at it</a>.  Frances  has wordled<a href="http://franbuckley.wordpress.com/2009/12/15/wordle/" target="_blank"> some of her writing in progress</a> while a very different source was used by Jackie Fitzgibbon, who is working on US Foreign Policy. She <a href="http://jacquelinefitz.wordpress.com/2010/02/22/using-evernote/" target="_blank">&#8216;wordled&#8217; Jimmy Carter&#8217;s inaugural and farewell speeches</a>, and captured the resulting images using the screen clipper in Evernote in a post that note only shows good use of screen capture but also shows significant differences in language between those two speeches &#8211; the farewell speech is more nuanaced and less hopeful than the inaugural.</p>
<p>Jackie went on to delve deeper into text analysis, using the tools on the TAPOR portal. Using <a href="http://jacquelinefitz.wordpress.com/2010/02/23/even-more-evernote/" target="_blank">the same two speeches, she has begun to extract</a> wordlists and move towards looking a Key Words in Context lists which will throw up more interesting linkages.  I think I got everyone hooked on Zotero, although <a href="http://franbuckley.wordpress.com/2009/12/15/zotero-and-bibliography/" target="_blank">only some people have</a> posted about it.  Brendan has reflected on the nature of the <a href="http://brendonia.wordpress.com/2009/11/17/the-nature-of-blogs/#more-31" target="_blank">blogging process itself with some useful insights</a>.</p>
<p>This sample doesn&#8217;t cover all the dozen or so course blogs; but it gives an idea if what is going on at the moment. The other teaching related work that is ongoing this weekend is that my second year undergrads are finishing their wargame design assignment. Those are due tomorrow, and some of them should be very good indeed &#8211; once I get them in, I may post a few images to show off their brilliance as well.</p>
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<h2><span>The Magi: Thesis Musings</span></h2>
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		<title>Can I make Twitter a requirement for my students?</title>
		<link>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=531</link>
		<comments>http://www.mikecosgrave.com/blog2006/?p=531#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Feb 2010 10:49:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Cosgrave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Random]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hi2007]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Harold Jarche is one of the most popular bloggers dealing with social networking, and for good reason &#8211; he is insightful. His blog post from yesterday gathers ideas which prompt me to wonder why I haven&#8217;t already made twitter a requirement in my courses, and how I can overcome the obstacles to using it in teaching.</p>
<p>In [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Harold Jarche is one of the most popular bloggers dealing with social networking, and for good reason &#8211; he is insightful. His <a href="http://www.jarche.com/2010/02/social-computing-in-knowledge-intensive-workplaces/" target="_blank">blog post from yesterday</a> gathers ideas which prompt me to wonder why I haven&#8217;t already made twitter a requirement in my courses, and how I can overcome the obstacles to using it in teaching.<span id="more-531"></span></p>
<p>In his post he gathers some projections which might not be accurate, but are good enough to work with. he quotes Ross Dawson discussion a Gartner report which projects that in</p>
<p>&#8220;&#8230;.the next three to five years out:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>20% of businesses using social media instead of e-mail by 2014</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>50% of businesses using activity streams, such as micro-blogging, by 2012</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>20% of businesses will use social network analysis by 2015</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>70-95% of IT <span style="text-decoration: line-through;">dominated</span> driven social media initiatives will fail through to  2012.&#8221;</em></p>
<p>Now he goes on to make some interesting points about this, but my tangent here is that I am supposed to be preparing my students to operate in this sort of environment, and not to be hopelessly lost in it. In fact, right now I&#8217;m doing a bit of SoTL research on on how my second years use discussion forums on Blackboard to faciliate group work.  If the Gartner report is even vaguely close to right; I should be well past discussion forums and making them use Twitter, Facebook and other tools for this, all tied up by using hashtags based on the course code (#Hi2007).</p>
<p>One problem is that many of my students are having a hard enough time dealing with the concept of group projects in a humanities subject, never mind dealing with using the discussion forums for organising virtual teamwork. I&#8217;ve been setting this assignment for a number of years, and in the end it always works out well, but sometimes it&#8217;s a rough road &#8211; and this years cohort seem to be making particularly heavy weather of it.</p>
<p>If my students have problems using the simplest of social networking tools in a relatively safe, enclosed space like Blackboard; how would they fare if they have to range across multiple social networking tools? A key problem is that not only will the real world require them to do this in work, but if they are to build effective personal knowledge management newtorks, which they need right now, then they need to be able to range across many different web tools, and be able to migrate their data to newer, better tools as they become available. Indeed, people in my MA class in Digital History, to whom I do teach the theory and practice of social networking, have said that someone needs to teach this to first year undergrads.</p>
<p>There are several problems. One is with the tools, and the lack of proper interaction between different identification schemes. Quite simply, once a student has a longin on our LMS, even something as anonymous as a student id number, they need to be able  to use that to create accounts on major services like Twitter and Facebook and whatever else comes along. My students need not to have to create 7 or 8 different accounts on different services, and try to remember different userids and passwords for them all. (They may chose to, or may already have their own accounts on those services &#8211; that&#8217;s a separate issue.) Now there are some linkages, and several protocols for sharing id and feeds between different services, but none have penetrated the closed world of the corporate learning management system yet; and given the ethos of tool like Blackboard, it is unlikely that they ever will.</p>
<p>The other is that students have a strong perception of different online spaces. Blackboard is where they, often reluctantly, work and Facebook is where they post drunken pictures from &#8220;Raise And Give&#8221; week while they tweet about the movies they are watching &#8211; and heaven forbid a #Hi2007 post would ever turn up in their Twitter, Facebook or Friendfeed!</p>
<p>People need to get over this &#8211; I don&#8217;t agree with never being able to turn off work and having to answer emails from your boss instantly on your blackberry, but I do recognise two things which the new web does support. One is that different people work best at different times of the day or week &#8211; I do my best work on Saturday morning because it is my absolute quiet time.  Past about 3 pm most days, all I do is slap away the odd email; but that is about the time many of my students are only starting to get going.  The second is that I deal more better with students when I know them as people. I can never be friends with all 240 students in second year, but it helps me to work with them if I have a feel for the pace of their lives. In many cases, their inability to work well is a result of their inability to manage time, and I can&#8217;t help them with that problem unless I have some feeling for the problem.  If people are going to learn about personal knowledge management, then the &#8216;personal&#8217; part needs to be recognised, social networking is about &#8216;social&#8217; as well as networking and if people are to have work-life balance, them we need to be away that &#8216;life&#8217; is half of that balance.  One of the well known failures of having the &#8216;web&#8217; 24/7 is not being able to balance must do work with fun to do stuff, and we&#8217;ll never solve that until we learn to look at all of it. Solving it is an essential part of how humanities education should be transforming college students.</p>
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